If Biden is elected in 2024, will >4 people be arrested trying to storm the Capitol during the EC vote count again?
Basic
9
Ṁ192Nov 6
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"EC vote count" refers to the ceremonial counting of Electoral College votes from the 2024 US Presidential elections to be held by a joint session of Congress, in accordance with the Electoral Count Act of 1887. During the last counting ceremony, the one following the 2020 elections, supporters of President Donald Trump stormed the Capitol building.
"the Capitol" refers to the United States Capitol Building in Washington DC, seat of the US Congress.
If Biden is not elected, this market will resolve N/A.
If the vote counting ceremony does not occur, this market will resolve N/A.
Note: This market closes on Election Day.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
42% chance
Will the US Capitol be stormed in 2024?
2% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will Biden be impeached in 2024?
1% chance
Will there be another attack on the US capital as a result of the 2024 election?
4% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?
9% chance
Will there be 5 or more faithless electors in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Will there be significant Right-Wing riots between Presidential Election Day 2024 (11/05/24) and inauguration (01/20/25)?
7% chance
Conditional on record high voter turnout, will Joe Biden win the 2024 election?
2% chance