Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year? | Manifold

Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?

37

2kṀ9340

Dec 31

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Trump has claimed he will impose a 10% tariff on all countries except China, which will have a 60% tariff.

This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 10% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports (as measured in dollar terms) to the US from all countries except China.

If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 10%, that does count as a YES.

If Trump imposes a tariff less than 10%, that does not count.

If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.

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He might exempt certain countries like Hungary in his typical mafia style..

@Siebe Hungary can’t easily opt out of retaliatory tariffs against the us though, because it’s in a trading bloc

bought Ṁ250 NO

We have a market for him becoming president at ~50% and enacting these heinous tariffs at 21%. So seems like this market should be 10%

oh I didn't see that market before I created this.

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Trump impose large tariffs in first year?

Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the UK before 2026?

Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of March 2025?

Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 100 days?

Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?

Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?

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Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?

Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?

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