Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?
Plus
25
Ṁ46872025
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has claimed he will impose a 10% tariff on all countries except China, which will have a 60% tariff.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 10% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports (as measured in dollar terms) to the US from all countries except China.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 10%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 10%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Siebe Hungary can’t easily opt out of retaliatory tariffs against the us though, because it’s in a trading bloc
Related questions
Related questions
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
64% chance
What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?
Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
17% chance
Will the price of eggs go up in Trump's first month?
64% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
15% chance
Will Trump declassify the Diddy OR Epstein lists in his first 100 days?
15% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
64% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the UK before 2026?
53% chance
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada?
62% chance
Will Donald Trump attempt to implement mass deportations within his first month in office?
58% chance