How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive? (Threshold)
28
1.2kṀ3766Sep 17
14,298 pre-orders
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99.0%
Above 5,000
65%
Above 10,000
49%
Above 15,000
15%
Above 20,000
7%
Above 25,000
0.9%
Above 30,000
0.9%
Above 35,000
https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/
Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator does not know how many pre-orders there were, which may affect the ability to resolve this market based on the actual pre-order count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Bucket version of this market: https://manifold.markets/metachirality/how-many-preorders-will-yudkowsky-a?play=true
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Related questions
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
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Yudkowsky and Soares' book’s place on the NYT bestseller list
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How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide?
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Who will endorse Yudkowsky and Soares' book?