Context: Michigan Arab-Americans 'can't stomach' Harris stance on Gaza

Dearborn is the first Arab-majority city in the US, and it has served as a key centre for the "uncommitted" movement that is opposed to the Biden administration's policy toward the Middle East.

In a statement this week, the Uncommitted Movement - which is made up of traditionally Democratic members - said it could not endorse Harris because of her “unwillingness to shift on unconditional weapons policy or to even make a clear campaign statement in support of upholding existing US and international human rights law”.

Will the Michigan Uncommitted movement result in the lowest percent of voting for the Democratic candidate for president since 2000?

The record low for Dearborn Democratic support was 66.36% in 2016 for Hillary Clinton. This market will Resolve YES if Kamala Harris receives <=66.35% of the total vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election, and NO otherwise.

This will Resolve based on New York Times polling data, with a vote count of >=97%, or at minimum 3 weeks after voting has completed - if a lower vote count.