Will Ukraine hit Moscow or the Crimean Bridge before October?
19
100Ṁ4756
resolved Sep 4
Resolved
YES
It should be noted that one of the markets has hit 100% odds on Polymarket and is being disputed now.

This is fusing two Polymarkets: Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? and Crimean bridge hit before October?

This market will Resolve YES if Ukraine hits Moscow, or anyone hits the Crimean Bridge before October. Will either Polymarket Resolve YES?

Moscow Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Bridge Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Crimean Bridge (Kerch Bridge) is the subject of a kinetic strike between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the bridge will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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