Will there be a ceasefire (or formal armistice/peace) in either Israeli front (including Gaza/Hamas, Hezbollah/Lebanon, and any future fronts while Oasis are still an active band? Resolves YES once a ceasefire has lasted for 24hours, or NO immediately once Oasis have broken up (definition below).

The definition of an active band (can no longer rely on Wikipedia 😭) will be at least one of the following criteria being true:

• There are active (not cancelled) Oasis concert dates upcoming.

• Nothing on the Oasis website’s News page about a breakup, or pause/hiatus, of the band (posted after market creation), or either brother leaving the band.

So if the band complete all of their scheduled shows and don’t fall out, this market considers the band still intact, as they could theoretically announce more dates.

Market will extend as needed.