Will the next successful hack of the US election involve phishing? 🇺🇸🗳️🧑🏻💻
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3
Ṁ60Jan 1
67%
chance
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1W
1M
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Donald Trump’s campaign has already been successfully hacked by Iran, which was made possible with phishing attack on Roger Stone
Will the next successful attack on the US election by a foreign power (or non-state actor) involve phishing? Even if phishing was done at an earlier stage of a multi stage attack, this will Resolve YES.
Resolves NO if the attack did not involve phishing in any capacity. Resolves N/A if there are no additional successful attacks on the 2024 US election.
As it would be reasonable for an attack to take time to come to light, this market will not Resolve NO or N/A for all of 2024, and could extend if there’s lingering ambiguity.
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