Now that she’s on the Forbes Billionaire’s List, will Taylor Swift do ridiculous things with her money by the end of 2025?
I’m definitely “Billionaire shit” as something that clearly demonstrates that she’s got an unlimited amount of money, and seems reckless or otherwise foolish and regrettable to do. If it feels like a Bond villain would do it, it may be “Billionaire shit”.
I won’t bet here, as there’s a chance that this Resolves to a percent, if for example she buys another two planes: I may Resolve this to 10%, as this feels more Multi-Millionaire-y to me.
A non-exhaustive list of things that I would count as a full YES:
Buying a zoo filled with exotic animals.
Creating a Taylor Swift theme park or cruise line, devoted entirely to herself (the ultimate vanity project).
Buying a major sport’s team [MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL, British Premiere League, or similar caliber]
Buying a zeppelin, or mega plane (think: Howard Hughes)
Buying a private island (must either be famous: Epstein Island. or huge: Zuckerberg’s Hawaii compound). Or better, terraforming the island herself.
Run for President (or a significant or national office, like Governor)
Start a country or otherwise trying to achieve sovereignty
Start a moonshot company (Space, Green tech…etc)
etc.
1,000People are also trading
I like Claude's analysis here:
https://manifold.markets/mattyb/will-taylor-swift-do-billionaire-sh
This market is vague and ambiguous, but not subjective in the sense of "does @mattyb like the latest album". I don't see any issue with coming to a real resolution.
@traders Opinions? Any candidate actions that would qualify?
I’m definitely “Billionaire shit” as something that clearly demonstrates that she’s got an unlimited amount of money, and seems reckless or otherwise foolish and regrettable to do
I think giving out bonuses to share some of the profits after a successful tour is just about the opposite of Matt's "seems reckless or otherwise foolish and regrettable to do" standard. It's also just too... normal? Profit participation for the people who work on a creative project is super common. When she explains those bonuses, it's in part because there are lots of other people who have shares of the tours profit (tour promoters, venues, etc), while those specific workers still only had fixed payouts. It's less common to give that profit participation as a surprise bonus, but also not terribly unusual (companies give big surprise bonuses all the time).
The concept of "billionaire shit" is about personal behavior that makes it seem like they don't care at all about money anymore. Giving out big bonuses to your employees based on large profits is the opposite of that—it's a savvy move, done in a corporate and not personal capacity, and it reflects that money still matters a lot because these payouts are specifically tied to recent profit.
so I'm fine with N/A or 0% or finding other examples but I'd be very against this resolving >0% based on the tour bonuses.
@mods Since Mattyb isn't active anymore and this is highly subjective, could you resolve this N/A pls?
Where does creating a new social networking app centered on herself rank?