Will Kamala Harris earn more absentee + mail-in ballot votes than Donald Trump in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Resolves to the analysis published by Pew Research after the election, see their 2020 report here.
1,000
3.00Here's the analysis: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/12/04/voters-and-nonvoters-experiences-with-the-2024-election/
The analysis does not actually state whether Harris or Trump earned more, but it does say that Democratic voters voted by mail at much greater rates than Republican voters, which makes me confident that this should resolve YES.
39% of Republican voters say they cast their vote in person on Election Day, compared with 28% of Democratic voters.
In contrast, 44% of Democratic voters say they voted by mail or absentee, compared with 26% of Republican voters.
35% of Republican voters and 28% of Democratic voters report having voted early in person this year.