How much greater is Donald Trump's IQ than Kamala Harris's?
Basic
10
Ṁ931
2031
2.2
expected

SD = 15.

Resolves according to an analysis by the most powerful AI widely available on Jan 1st 2032 (with careful steps taken to maximise objectivity).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

What if it’s negative?

@JimAusman this can go negative!

AI has never been shown to be able to accurately determine a person's IQ.

IQ as a metric of intelligence has been contested and controversial, and measurement methods are questionable at best.

If someone makes a market on this being a reliable way to judge a person's intellect, I'd be willing to bet.

@ProjectVictory Yeah, market's not for everyone. It's a good market if you agree that there will be massive developments in AI by 2031, and that that entails in the AI the ability to reliably judge a person's intellect.

Did you make this market numeric through the API?

@ScipioFabius I used the duplicate function in the GUI on an existing market (then changed the details).

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules