
Resolves YES if I see someone wearing a Vision Pro on any of SFβs MUNI lines, or in a MUNI station (behind the pay gates) in February 2024, and NO on March 1st otherwise.
I wonβt bet in this market.
Facts that may affect your betting:
I live in San Francisco and take MUNI 3-5 days a week, usually during rush hour, or during midday higher frequency traffic.
I have a fairly long commute (typically ~40+ minutes per train ride) and most typically go downtown / to FiDi
My Vision Pro arrives this month, and Iβm not going to be wearing it on MUNI, nor would I count that for this marker.
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@mattyb if you see someone wearing AVP, would you immediately report & resolve? Or is there a chance you have already seen someone with AVP but youβre just not revealing until March?
@bence nope. i search every time and havenβt seen anyone. Fwiw, Iβm in 2nd on our local transit app this month, so Iβve been riding MUNI plenty.

@mattyb I got nervous when I saw this comment about your being #2 rider but I realized the probability is still tiny! I will get my M230 profit π
Yeah idk. Will you see someone wearing one on bay area public transit at some point? Almost certainly. Within the first ~3 weeks after a fresh unboxing? Maybe not.
There are for sure a bunch of high-end tech enthusiasts on the MUNI every day with enough disposable income such that a $3500 device would fall into the category of "meh whatever" if it got broken or stolen.... but I think (at least in these super early days) it'll feel too much like a personal safety hazard to have something in front of your eyes on public transit.
I'm going NO, though wouldn't be at all surprised by a YES.