MANIFOLD
Will I see someone wearing a Vision Pro on MUNI this month? πŸŽπŸ‘“πŸšŠ
101
αΉ€1.2kαΉ€13k
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if I see someone wearing a Vision Pro on any of SF’s MUNI lines, or in a MUNI station (behind the pay gates) in February 2024, and NO on March 1st otherwise.

I won’t bet in this market.

Facts that may affect your betting:

  • I live in San Francisco and take MUNI 3-5 days a week, usually during rush hour, or during midday higher frequency traffic.

  • I have a fairly long commute (typically ~40+ minutes per train ride) and most typically go downtown / to FiDi

  • My Vision Pro arrives this month, and I’m not going to be wearing it on MUNI, nor would I count that for this marker.

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As it looks like this one’s a certain NO, I’m curious if it’ll happen this year at all.

reposted

I’m on my penultimate MUNI ride of the month! Now or never

reposted

My final week riding MUNI in February has just begun. I’ll be riding at least 5 more times this week, will I see someone wearing a Vision Pro?

@mattyb you will not!

@mattyb if you see someone wearing AVP, would you immediately report & resolve? Or is there a chance you have already seen someone with AVP but you’re just not revealing until March?

@bence nope. i search every time and haven’t seen anyone. Fwiw, I’m in 2nd on our local transit app this month, so I’ve been riding MUNI plenty.

bought αΉ€500 NO

@mattyb Thanks for confirming and thanks for contributing to Transit πŸ˜‡

@mattyb I got nervous when I saw this comment about your being #2 rider but I realized the probability is still tiny! I will get my M230 profit πŸ˜ƒ

Maybe a few people (no more than 5) wear it on Muni per day this month, and your chance of being near any of them is tiny. Even if you happen to be on the same train, there's a good chance you don't see them

predictedNO
bought αΉ€100 YES

https://youtu.be/UvkgmyfMPks?si=hnjWx2O3JtD8snuR&t=106

Doesn't seem to work while in motion.

predictedNO

Love this market. If it was BART, then definitely no. Please take a picture as proof.

predictedNO

Yeah idk. Will you see someone wearing one on bay area public transit at some point? Almost certainly. Within the first ~3 weeks after a fresh unboxing? Maybe not.

There are for sure a bunch of high-end tech enthusiasts on the MUNI every day with enough disposable income such that a $3500 device would fall into the category of "meh whatever" if it got broken or stolen.... but I think (at least in these super early days) it'll feel too much like a personal safety hazard to have something in front of your eyes on public transit.

I'm going NO, though wouldn't be at all surprised by a YES.

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