Will there be an agreed upon Israeli-Hamas ceasefire before there is an agreed upon Russian:Ukrainian pause in fighting?
For this to count, the ceasefire must be agreed to by both sides, or by designated proxies, and must last for 24hrs before being broken/dissolved. A formal cessation in fighting in either war, through surrender or armistice, will also count.
This market will extend, as needed.
@mattyb this can resolve, no? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war_ceasefire effective 19. January.
@mattyb Is there anything in the small print here since you're using the word "ceasefire" for the Gaza invasion but "pause in fighting" for the Ukraine invasion? Do the criteria you've listed "for this to count" apply to both conflicts?