Who will appear with Kendrick Lamar during the Super Bowl Half-Time show?
54
1.9kṀ21k
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
YES
SZA
Resolved
YES
Mustard
Resolved
NO
Drake
Resolved
NO
Rihanna
Resolved
NO
Lil Wayne
Resolved
NO
Jay Z
Resolved
NO
Dr. Dre
Resolved
NO
Taylor Swift
Resolved
NO
The Weeknd
Resolved
NO
J. Cole
Resolved
NO
JID
Resolved
NO
No one (it will be a Kendrick solo performance)
Resolved
NO
Zacari
Resolved
NO
Future
Resolved
NO
Metro Boomin
Resolved
NO
Oasis
Resolved
NO
Baby Keem
Resolved
NO
Dody6
Resolved
NO
Beyoncé

This will use Wikipedia as the resolution source. All artists listed as Headliner(s) or Special Guest(s) will Resolve YES.

If no one else joins the stage, “No one” will be the only YES answer, otherwise it will Resolve NO.

Note: This will be closing before the half time show begins and will be truly predictive.

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@traders I assume the correct market probabilities are correct—SZA/Mustard YES, all others NO. Anything missing from this before resolution?

@Ziddletwix Serena Williams would have also resolved 'YES', if it had been added.

Based on a brief scan of the linked wiki article, it seems that at least since the 2000s the number of performers has varied wildly between years, possibly loosely following Zipf's law i.e. decaying likelihood with greater number

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