Which years will the 2024 summer box office out-gross?
Basic
6
Ṁ4214
resolved Sep 3
Resolved
YES
2021 ($1.745B)
Resolved
YES
2022 ($3.391B)
Resolved
YES
1998 ($2.721B)
Resolved
NO
2017 ($3.824B)
Resolved
NO
2023 ($4.039B)
Resolved
NO
2019 ($4.321B)

A Hollywood summer lasts 123 days from the first Friday in May through Labor Day Monday in September.

Counting only movies with an original release date during the Hollywood summer, which years will 2024 outgross?

If 2024 makes $3.0B during the summer movie season (see link above), then 2021 would Resolve YES, and the rest all NO.

This will be Resolved on September 2nd, Labor Day, so grosses after that date will not count.

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$3.6B

bought Ṁ300 YES

At $3,423,985,549 with one week (and holiday weekend) left!

bought Ṁ50 NO

Summer Box Office Pines For $3 Billion: ‘Garfield’ Could Scratch ‘Furiosa’, ‘Beetlejuice 2’ Might See Best Opening Just Outside Of Season & Other Zany Forecasts

That’s because the lack of product due to the actors strike has made a backloaded May-through-Labor Day frame in what will be lucky — lucky — to hit $3 billion. That’s a $1 billion, or 27%, less than last summer’s $4.09 billion, per Comscore. More bad news about summer: It’s not going to catch up the year any more against 2023.

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