[The Pivot] Will anyone clone a pre-Pivot Manifold and get it running in 2024?

10

220Ṁ1461

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Must be done this year. I have to be able to sign up and bet on it. Can have fees, can’t have any other Pivot related changes (Prize Points…etc.)

Doesn’t need to necessarily clone all users, markets, and trades, just the Manifold infrastructure and frontends. Non-user visible, or otherwise minor, changes are fine.

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Resolving NO. playmoney.dev is very cool and is spiritually like this, but it's not meant to actually clone manifold, and looks quite different.

Does this clone have to start with the existing Manifold database and therefore also clone existing users and markets, or can it start from scratch?

@Schneefackel it can start from scratch (in terms of users), but should be a fork of functionality. i’ll add that to the description

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I have an old market about the timing of this:
https://manifold.markets/MichaelWheatley/when-will-someone-first-manage-to-g

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Will Manifold enact any of the ideas from "The Bazaar of Knowledge" concept for what the pivot could be, by end 2024?

Will anyone implement a system resembling the one described in https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2011-11-04 on Manifold by the end of 2025?

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Will Manifold be more accurate a month after the pivot

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