(resolves no? although no particular rush)

Are we talking domestically or internationally? Because if international, China is gonna blow the box office out of the water

@Will94fc Opening Weekend here is just “domestic”, which includes the US, Canada and a few other teeny markets. Not China though

@Will94fc For reference, IIUC the relevant openings for the other KFP movies would be:

• KFP 3: $41,282,042

• KFP 2: $47,656,302

• KFP 1: $60,239,130

(if it helps establish what's included in that number)

Long range predictions:

Kung Fu Panda

• Domestic Total Prediction: $170 million

• International Total Prediction: $430 million

• Global Total Prediction: $600 million 

Dune: Part Two

• Domestic Total Prediction: $300 million

• International Total Prediction: $420 million

• Global Total Prediction: $720 million

@mattyb woah that's a lot of money

@TheBayesian

@mattyb wait are those predictions just some guy that wants to maximize clicks or does he have a track record LOL

@TheBayesian either way my money's on paul athresomething all the way

@TheBayesian when you’re making box office predictions >2 months out, there’s gonna be some big margins for error. TheDirect is a semi-reputable movie site (imo) but yea these are just guesses.

@GabeGarboden dang is kung fu panda big lol

@TheBayesian i gotchu, 2 secs

@TheBayesian I think it has a broader appeal with kids and such. And will be a hit with the 20-30 year olds for the nostalgia factor imo.

@GabeGarboden that's reasonable. matty with the well crafted questions, cuz i looked it up and kung fu panda 3 made 41M in its opening weekend, and Dune 1 made... 41M as well

@TheBayesian i try to make markets where i don’t know which way to bet at 50:50

@mattyb Yes, this is a fun question. I'm thinking 60% chance for The Panda.

@GabeGarboden my other classic head-to-head type

@TheBayesian I wouldn't be surprised if Kung Fu Panda had a big audience in China. Like, I'd have watched the shit out of Encanto even if it wasn't for Bruno.