Will Apple launch a ChatGPT competitor before the end of 2024
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resolved Jun 26
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I spent some time trying to clarify, but because the clarification is likely to send the market to 95% or 5%, both being reasonable, I'm going with N/A. 3 mods also voted a week ago, 2 N/A and 1 Clarify.

I encourage someone to make a successor market if you can think of interesting criteria, maybe with a closer close time to keep things interesting. Post it in these comments if you do!

Closed the market while we deliberate

is it really a competitor to ChatGPT if openAI are the provider? Where do people stand on this? -- it seems to me chatGPT is being integrated, and rebranded. Not really a competitor?

I don't know enough to decide the market though, I encourage someone else to provide more info before we make a decision

They only call out to openAI for special cases that their own homemade AI can't handle well.

Why isn't it a competitor to chatgpt if they build it on top of gpt? Is duckduckgo not a competitor to bing and google?

You really need to define this a whole lot more for it to be a question/market.

Perhaps this is an N/A then

They specifically are not trying to compete with “world knowledge” AIs such as ChatGPT

bought Ṁ100 NO from 50% to 45%
bought Ṁ50 YES

How about the recent Apple Intelligence announcement, does it count?

bought Ṁ100 YES from 24% to 30%
bought Ṁ100 YES

They built their own models and are answering questions... Sure seems like it to me

The only question of a long-dormant account with no resolution criteria... Hrm.

bought Ṁ500 YES

We can get a mod to resolve it

Not with zero resolution criteria. This is a recipe for a shit show.

bought Ṁ60 NO

Apple Insider: "Apple may not release its own generative chatbot in iOS 18". They rated this as "Possible," so I'm using the inverse of this market to loosely track that article on the  Apple Insider Rumor Scores dashboard

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