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Iran conceded one goal against the USA for a total of seven goals conceded in the group stage.

I don't understand the odds here - Iran have conceded 6 and have one game remaining so this is essentially a bet on the US scoring 4 or more goals.

"Over 3.5 goals" is currently about 22% odds on Betfair, and that includes some chance of Iran scoring a goal, so the odds for "Iran concedes 4" are lower than that. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/football/fifa-world-cup/iran-v-usa-betting-31742494

@KevinBurke thanks the input Kevin, this market was made before the start of the group stage icymi.

@mat sure my concern is more with the current price than the target!