resolved Nov 30

2022 FIFA World Cup Sports

Will Iran concede 10 or more goals in the Group Stage at the 2022 World Cup?

Resolved

NO

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	David Mathers	Ṁ201
2	JAAM	Ṁ144
3	Kevin Burke	Ṁ88
4	dp	Ṁ69
5	mat	Ṁ63

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bought Ṁ35 of NO

Iran conceded one goal against the USA for a total of seven goals conceded in the group stage.

is predicting NO at 32%

I don't understand the odds here - Iran have conceded 6 and have one game remaining so this is essentially a bet on the US scoring 4 or more goals.

"Over 3.5 goals" is currently about 22% odds on Betfair, and that includes some chance of Iran scoring a goal, so the odds for "Iran concedes 4" are lower than that. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/football/fifa-world-cup/iran-v-usa-betting-31742494

bought Ṁ70 of NO

@KevinBurke thanks the input Kevin, this market was made before the start of the group stage icymi.

is predicting NO at 12%

@mat sure my concern is more with the current price than the target!

sold Ṁ7 NO at 0.9%

bought Ṁ3,727 NO from 1.7% to 0.9%

bought Ṁ35 NO at 1.7%

bought Ṁ800 NO from 2% to 1.7%

sold Ṁ0 YES at 2%

bought Ṁ2,000 NO from 4% to 2%

bought Ṁ500 NO from 5% to 4%

bought Ṁ500 NO from 7% to 5%

sold Ṁ303 NO from 6% to 7%

bought Ṁ300 NO from 7% to 6%

bought Ṁ100 NO at 7%

sold Ṁ2 YES at 7%

bought Ṁ200 NO from 8% to 7%

sold Ṁ329 NO from 7% to 8%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 7%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 NO at 7%

bought Ṁ327 NO from 9% to 7%

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filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 NO at 9%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 9%

sold Ṁ1 YES from 10% to 9%

sold Ṁ27 NO from 9% to 10%

sold Ṁ170 NO from 8% to 9%

sold Ṁ22 NO at 8%

bought Ṁ500 NO from 12% to 8%

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filled limit order Ṁ128/Ṁ150 NO at 12% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ35 NO from 14% to 13%

bought Ṁ5 NO at 14%

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filled limit order Ṁ47/Ṁ150 NO at 14% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ64 NO from 16% to 15%

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filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 NO at 16%

bought Ṁ20 NO from 17% to 16%

bought Ṁ100 NO from 19% to 17%

bought Ṁ55 NO from 20% to 19%

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filled limit order Ṁ43/Ṁ50 NO at 20% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ70 NO from 23% to 21%

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filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ50 NO at 23% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 NO from 28% to 24%

bought Ṁ30 NO from 29% to 28%

bought Ṁ5 NO at 29%

bought Ṁ24 NO from 31% to 29%

bought Ṁ23 NO from 32% to 31%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 31% to 32%

bought Ṁ20 NO from 32% to 31%

bought Ṁ8 NO at 32%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 YES at 32% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ9 NO at 31%

bought Ṁ15 NO from 32% to 31%

bought Ṁ50 NO from 35% to 32%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ83/Ṁ100 NO at 35% (cancelled)

sold Ṁ554 NO from 18% to 40%