Will IGeL-Monitor.de evaluate another IGeL as "negative" by 2030?
8
150Ṁ236
2030
75%
chance

In Germany, health care is generally covered by health insurance. However, physicians can recommend/offer individual health care services (Individuelle Gesundheitsleistungen => IGeL) which are not or only partially covered by insurance. The website https://www.igel-monitor.de evaluates IGeLs via science literature according to their benefits and risks and assigns a rating from "negative" to "positive". Currently, 4 are considered "negative":

Resolves YES if at any point until 1 January 2030, the website evaluates an IGeL as "negative" in addition to the four mentioned above.

Resolves NO immediately if the service shuts down. A temporary downtime is irrelevant. Since it is effectively state-owned there should be some official news if it happens.

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Betting on NO to incentivize people to check the website for me. 😎

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