US PMI November >50 (conditional on election winner)
9
150Ṁ144
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
N/A
>50 if Democrats win
Resolved
NO
>50 if Republicans win

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a leading indicator for the economy. In the second half of the month, 400 purchasing managers are survey if their numbers are higher, lower, or the same as in the previous month. If the resulting index is >50 means expansion.

One answer resolves NA depending on the presidential election outcome.

The other answer resolves YES if the November US ISM Manufacturing PMI is above 50.

The other answer resolves NO if the November US ISM Manufacturing PMI is 50 or lower.

A plot of the last 10 years of monthly data:

See also /marktwse/msci-usa-annual-growth-on-inaugurat

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ6
2Ṁ5
3Ṁ3
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy