Inflation in Germany down to 2% in 2023?
Basic
28
Ṁ23k
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
NO

The consumer price index (Verbraucherpreise) in Germany in February 2023 was +8.7% compared to February 2022. The other (non consumer price) indices are falling in the last months as reported by Destatis:

2% is the target value of the european central bank (ECB) for the Euro zone. Some economists, like Heiner Flassbeck, predict that we might go below 2.% by July already.

Resolves YES, if the "Verbraucherpreise" index reported by Destatis is 2.0% or lower in any single month in 2023.

Resolves NO, if the "Verbraucherpreise" index is above 2.0% for all of 2023.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
predictedNO

16 Jan "In December 2023, the inflation rate − measured as the year-on-year change in the consumer price index (CPI) – stood at +3.7%." https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/Prices/Consumer-Price-Index/_node.html Resolves no @marktwse

August: 6.1%

September: 4.5% which is -1.6

At this rate it would reach 0 within the next three months.

predictedYES

In this video Flassbeck bets against another economist. He says "Zwei vor dem Komma". This 2.99% is a weaker claim than this question here.

predictedYES

Also created a market for the exact number:

Wholesale prices are meaningless due to shortages. 90% of oil in the world is fake and refineries are collapsing.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules