How many billion-dollar climate disasters will affect the United States in 2024?
20
Ṁ1kṀ1.5kresolved Jan 11
100%0.5%
27
1.6%
28
1.7%
29
6%
30
91%Other
Resolved via https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/
In 2023 it was 28. See /knowledgeispower/by-the-end-of-2023-how-many-billion .
Close date might be extended if the NCEI publication isn't available yet. It was Jan 9th for the previous year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@DavidFWatson Yes, eventually. I trying to figure out in which direction though. Currently, it seems people would rather bet on higher numbers. Added "30" for now.
@marktwse So, that's not unreasonable, but perhaps going forward you might create further answers as ranges? So like: 20-26 and 31-35?
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