Biden will be the Democratic Nominee or...
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Ṁ1.9kAug 22
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97%
Biden announces he quits his presidential campaign
1.1%
Biden is officially declared the 2024 Democratic Nominee
0.7%
Someone else is officially declared the Democratic Nominee
0.7%
Biden is unable to perform his POTUS duties and someone else takes over (death/coma/etc)
0.5%
Another candidates surpasses Biden in polls for the Democratic primaries (538 average)
Resolves to the one event which happens first.
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