Biden will be the Democratic Nominee or...
12
245Ṁ2272
resolved Aug 9
100%98.8%
Biden announces he quits his presidential campaign
0.5%
Biden is officially declared the 2024 Democratic Nominee
0.3%
Someone else is officially declared the Democratic Nominee
0.3%
Biden is unable to perform his POTUS duties and someone else takes over (death/coma/etc)
0.2%
Another candidates surpasses Biden in polls for the Democratic primaries (538 average)

Resolves to the one event which happens first.

Arbitrate with /NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

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