Would Harris win, if this person were her Vice Presidential nominee in 2024?
Would Harris win, if this person were her Vice Presidential nominee in 2024?
279
26kṀ180kresolved Nov 7
Resolved
N/AJared Polis
Resolved
N/AMitt Romney
Resolved
N/AJeb Bush
Resolved
N/AMike Pence
Resolved
N/APete Buttigieg
Resolved
N/AMark Cuban
Resolved
N/AJoe Manchin
Resolved
N/AJosh Shapiro
Resolved
N/AAndy Beshear
Resolved
N/AMark Kelly
Resolved
N/AGretchen Whitmer
Resolved
N/AGavin Newsom
Resolved
N/ARoy Cooper
Resolved
N/ALiz Cheney
Resolved
N/AResolved
N/AAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Resolved
N/AEliezer Yudkowsky
Resolved
N/AZvi Mowshowitz
Resolved
N/AJoe Biden
Resolved
N/AJD Vance
An option resolves Yes if that person becomes the 2024 Democratic Party Vice Presidential nominee and Harris wins the presidential election.
An option resolves No if that person becomes the 2024 Democratic Party Vice Presidential nominee and Harris loses the presidential election.
An option resolves N/A if that person is not the 2024 Democratic Party Vice Presidential nominee or Harris isn't the Presidential nominee.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.