Will the US government ban Rednote / Xiaohongshu by 2026?
4
100Ṁ3942026
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With a TikTok Ban Looming, Users Flee to Chinese App ‘Red Note’
Will resolve YES if the app is not available in United States app stores (Android and iOS) due to a government action. Will resolve NO if it is still accessible by Jan 1, 2026.
If the app becomes inaccessible for a non-government reason (like the devs removing it) this will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which applications will be banned by China
After Tiktok which other applications will be banned by the US
Will China completely ban Windows OS before 2026?
5% chance
Will Twitter/X be unblocked in China before 2026?
8% chance
Will X (fka Twitter) be sued by the US government for refusing to remove content by the end of 2025?
8% chance
When will Xiaohongshu limit overseas users
Will over 1 million Chinese citizens be able to legally access twitter, youtube, and wikipedia at the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will China ban iPhones before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
14% chance
Where X (old Twitter) will get banned by the end of 2025?