How many people will cross from Gaza into Egypt through the Rafah crossing by the end of 2024
14
163
1k
2025
4%
0 - 2,000
9%
2,001 - 10,000
44%
10,001 - 50,000
25%
50,001 - 100,000
13%
100,000 - 1,000,000
5%
> 1M

This will resolve based on the total number of people that cross the Rafah border as reported by a major publication, including the New York Times, Al Jazeera, BBC or another based on my discretion. If multiple numbers are reported, I will choose one based on my discretion. Only one outcome will be chosen. For example, if the number reported is 60,000 only "50,001 - 100,000" will be chosen.

Example article: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/1/egypt-opens-rafah-crossing-for-limited-number-of-gaza-patients

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bought Ṁ50 100,000 - 1,000,000 YES

You are kidding right? It is already more then 100k that left from rafah border

bought Ṁ45 100,000 - 1,000,000 NO

@CarmelHadar What scenariodo you envision in which egypt would allow more than 100k to cross?

@Shai the scenario that they get paid for it enough money.

This is already happening.

https://m.jpost.com/opinion/article-792595

It's going to be tough to find a number for this since most people cross illegally by bribing border guards.

@Shump

Each Gazan pay 5000$ to Egyptian company.

There is no way to cross illegally

@CarmelHadar Those companies are not operating legally. They are brokers who pay off Egyptian officials. It's not enforced though. A-Sisi encourages this kind of corruption.

@Shump
well its funny to define this thing as illegal.
i bet that most of the money goes directly to the Egyptian government (500 million dollars).
I see your point cuz its against the law of Egypt, but still, its absurd. the guy who manages the company is a friend of a-sisi.

anyway, it must be more then 100K now, even tho it probably will stop now when IDF got the Rafah Cross

bought Ṁ10 50,001 - 100,000 YES

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