Will the world population be over 8 billion by the end of the month?
4
100Ṁ1096resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-24-01 (PST): - The market question has been corrected to 'at the end of the month' instead of 'by the end of the month' to specify the population count at the end of the month. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-26-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Source:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ79 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
@TotalVerb I don't think it matters since it's basically guaranteed anyway. But I'll use https://www.census.gov/popclock/, which is currently showing at almost 8.1 billion
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States population cross 350 million by end of year 2025?
12% chance
Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
57% chance
Will the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031
73% chance
Will the total world population peak over 9 billion?
85% chance
Will the total world population peak over 9.5 billion?
85% chance
Will the world population in 2030 be higher than 8.6 billion people?
56% chance
Will the total world population peak over 10.5 billion?
61% chance
Will the total world population peak over 10 billion?
71% chance
Will the world's population reach 10 billion people by the end of 2050?
29% chance
Will the total world population peak over 11 billion?
44% chance