Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
9
210Ṁ204
2028
17%
chance

US Politics
Trump
Joe Biden
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

If a president resigns and the vice president becomes president, does this market resolve NO immediately, or does it resolve based on the new president?

@jks It resolves based on the new president. Any presidential death during the term is counted.

People are also trading

Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
+40% 1d85% chance
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
+53% 1d78% chance
Will Joe Biden live through the next president's term end date?
-50% 1d8% chance
Will a USA president die on the fourth of July in 2024 or 2025?
1% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
20% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029
24% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Will the next president die while in office?
18% chance
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will he die in office?
14% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules