On Oct 1, 2024, will there be more Meta Quest 3 devices sold than Apple Vision Pro devices?
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Ṁ3191
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES

Meta announced their Quest 3. I was curious how the market thinks about how many devices are sold.

Some considerations:

  • Meta Quest 3 will be significantly cheaper than Apple Vision Pro

  • There's def much more hype around Apple Vision Pro at the moment

  • Apple Vision Pro exact release date is still unclear

Some notes:

  • Pre-orders count as devices sold

  • If the number of devices sold between the two devices does not differ by more than 5%, I will resolve N/A to account for errors in reporting

  • Market closes on Nov 1 to allow for some time in reporting the numbers.

  • Market can close earlier than Nov (but not earlier than Oct 1) if clear evidence is available to resolve. If I close before Nov 1, I will give a heads up of 24h

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official apple sales are not out but it should be below 1M units sold [1]. meta quest 3 sales are at least 1M in units sold as estimated in June [2].

i’m not super happy about the sources but i think it’s very unlikely that apple vision sales are larger than the quest 3.

resolving this to YES!

reposted

anyone got recent numbers on quest 3 sales?

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