
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 40 seats at the next UK general election?
Plus
31
Ṁ6494resolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the Liberal Democrats win 40 or more seats in the House of Commons at the next UK general election. Candidates suspended from the party still count as long as they appear as "Liberal Democrats" on the ballot paper (like Neale Hanvey in 2019).
At the last general election in 2019, the Liberal Democrats won just 11 seats, despite coming third in terms of vote share with 11.6% of the vote. However, strong performances in local elections and by-elections has led to speculation that the party will make big gains at the next general election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ687 | |
2 | Ṁ245 | |
3 | Ṁ146 | |
4 | Ṁ136 | |
5 | Ṁ83 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
45% chance
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
39% chance
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
61% chance
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
80% chance
Will the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan win over 200 seats in the next general election?
52% chance