Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 40 seats at the next UK general election?
Basic
21
1.8k
2025
64%
chance

Resolves to YES if the Liberal Democrats win 40 or more seats in the House of Commons at the next UK general election. Candidates suspended from the party still count as long as they appear as "Liberal Democrats" on the ballot paper (like Neale Hanvey in 2019).

At the last general election in 2019, the Liberal Democrats won just 11 seats, despite coming third in terms of vote share with 11.6% of the vote. However, strong performances in local elections and by-elections has led to speculation that the party will make big gains at the next general election.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

I think it’ll take another charismatic lib dem leader to propel them back to where they were pre coalition. 40 is a way off imo