
Will the Labour Party win at least 30 seats in Scotland at the next general election?
11
150Ṁ1407resolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the Labour Party wins 30 or more seats in Scotland in the House of Commons at the next UK general election. Candidates suspended from the party still count as long as they appear as "Labour" (or "Labour and Co-operative") on the ballot paper (like Neale Hanvey in 2019).
Having won 41 out of 59 Scottish seats at the 2010 general election, Scottish Labour has collapsed at Westminster, winning just 1 seat in 2015, 7 in 2017, and 1 at the most recent general election in 2019. However, recent polling has led to speculation that the party will make big gains at the next general election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ111 | |
2 | Ṁ80 | |
3 | Ṁ40 | |
4 | Ṁ19 | |
5 | Ṁ12 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
50% chance
How many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?
How many seats will Labour win at the next general election?
244
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
48% chance
In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?
Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
32% chance