Will the Green Party win any seats in England at the next general election?
36
122
1k
2025
81%
chance

At the last UK general election in 2019, the Green Party of England and Wales won 2.6% of the vote and one constituency: Brighton Pavillion. However, the current MP for Brighton Pavillion, Caroline Lucas, has announced that she is stepping down at the next general election, raising the possibility that the party will lose its only seat.

This market resolves to YES if the Green Party of England and Wales wins any constituency in England at the next general election. Candidates suspended from the party still count as long as they appear as "Green" on the ballot paper (like Neale Hanvey in 2019).

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predicts YES

Greens are targeting these seats and so this can be arbed from these markets.