Will Michael Gove lose his seat at the next general election?
12
201
270
2025
22%
chance

Resolves to YES if at the next UK general election, Michael Gove fails to be elected to the House of Commons (regardless of which constituency he stands in; he is currently the MP for Surrey Heath). It doesn't matter whether or not he stands as a Conservative. This market resolves to N/A if he is not a candidate in the next general election.

Inspired by this tweet by Sam Freedman: https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1655165111550476288

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