Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Wisconsin?
Basic
11
แน€401
Dec 1
73%
chance

This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Tammy Baldwin, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party switches after the election are not important; what matters is how the candidate appears on the ballot.

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