context: https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-i-be-convinced-that-changing-t
Resolves YES if I start thinking I'm trans during this April otherwise resolves NO at close.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ186 | |
| 2 | Ṁ113 | |
| 3 | Ṁ49 | |
| 4 | Ṁ46 | |
| 5 | Ṁ29 |
Serious question: What if you start thinking that you're trans but then decide that you aren't? How will you resolve the market?
"People keep asking if I'm trans and I haven't really had an answer, but yeah, I'm thinking I'm trans." -Jane Wick
i do love me some long-odds bets. anyway, you might be interested in this: https://turn-me-into-a-girl.com/
Market deserves to be higher than the average chance of a person being trans since you have abnormal feelings about your own gender, but not much higher.
@levifinkelstein I feel like the persona isn’t accurately girly or feminine, but that it’s a wildly exaggerated caricature of girliness. I think it would be effective at 10-20% of its girliness rating.
@JohnSmithb9be Awww, thanks John for you heartfelt feedback 😄 It's so heartwarming to be part of such a nice and supportive community 🥲