Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?
5
130Ṁ9752042
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)
Resolves NO if we make AGI first
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2047?
87% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
82% chance
Will we get AGI before 2043?
82% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
79% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
94% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
84% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?
50% chance
Will AI wipe out monkeys by 2030?
6% chance