Will I have more than 50 followers when this market closes January 20th

Ṁ19K

Ṁ1K

resolved Jan 21

Resolved

YES

ALL

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will I collect 15 followers on my Manifold account until end of this year?

Miłosz Lupiński

50% chance

When will the official ManifoldMarkets Twitter handle hit 7,000 followers?

Will the official ManifoldMarkets X handle hit 6,500 followers by the end of November?

9% chance

When will the official ManifoldMarkets Twitter handle hit 10,000 followers?

Who will be the most Twitter-followed user to create a market?

Manifold

If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 400 followers a month later?

Isaac King

49% chance

If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 200 followers a month later?

Isaac King

71% chance

Will @HsakaTrades have >1 million followers?

Gigacasting

25% chance

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Simon	Ṁ319
2	firstuserhere	Ṁ106
3	A	Ṁ65
4	cringeworthy	Ṁ57
5	Furry Laptop	Ṁ56

13 Comments

43 Positions

184 Trades

Sort by:

Simonpredicted YES

🤔

Simonpredicted YES

@levifinkelstein ?

Edward Kmettpredicted YES

@levifinkelstein Looks like you never really dipped below 57, so despite 3 people bailing on you to try to bring this down to a NO, you are stuck with a YES.

Simonpredicted YES

@levifinkelstein The market can resolve now

degtoradbought Ṁ100 of YES

Wait why did I do what I did now.

Namanbought Ṁ10 of NO

No one’s gonna unfollow to manipulate this market?

Edward Kmettbought Ṁ3,000 of YES

@nmehndir In the limit it is easier to force additional followers than remove followers. So such a reversal is more easily betrayed by adding bot followers. So it is probably not worth the coordination challenge to try to grab the NO, but I'd be curious to see what happens if I'm wrong.

Edward Kmettpredicted YES

@levifinkelstein himself is a NO voter, so maybe he's been stacking the deck with bot followers all along waiting for this "massive" rugpull opportunity.

Edward Kmettpredicted YES

It seems like a win-win to play it straight. Buying a bunch of followers for your markets for a couple hundred mana should easily recoup that mana, or reap the drama and lose the followers for a <$100 upside if you sweep the table by rugpulling right at the last second before the other side can rally a bunch of temp followers and rugpull you back?