Will I have 100+ followers at market close May 10th
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resolved May 11
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YES

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predictedYES

@levifinkelstein please resolve this market

predictedNO

Man, blackface was an extremely lucrative but for a long time. This whole Levina thing just wreaks of a privileged person punching down.

predictedNO

@JustNo *bit

115 followers at 4:58 p.m. 115 at 4:59 market close. Please confirm.

predictedNO

seems right

predictedNO

I see 114 right now

predictedYES

Previous market resolutions were based on the number of followers shown on the profile. Isaac's MvW market specified method for ruling out alts. No such provisions here. It is neither warranted nor precedented.

Isaac similarly thought half of the accounts were bots / alts. Dont be an Isaac.

@XComhghall I'm just saying that IF there were >13 bots controlled by some hypothetical party that all follow @levifinkelstein, it would be possible to produce a sudden dip at the followers count in a span of minutes. I put some small probability (~1-2%) on this happening on some of the followers markets.

predictedYES

@MayMeta Sorry. Misunderstood.

MayMetaboughtṀ10NO

@MayMeta You have seen the light

@TobyBW Yes. I've looked at a random sample of 20 followers and 10% were deleted accounts and 55% were extremely sus: 1 bet, no comments, or a very weird profits plot. Although there are no intersections with IsaacKing's bots.

predictedNO

If I were Levi I would manipulate the shit outa those markets.

There are 5 people who are following @levifinkelstein and are currently holding YES shares. There are 0 people who are following @levifinkelstein and are currently holding NO shares. The current follower count is 111. Assuming there are no bots involved, there is simply not enough people to unfollow.

@MayMeta Everyone who is followed & sees this should buy M10 no and unfollow. It's free 10x, almost no risk.

predictedNO

My risk is losing the 20 mana I put in on this, which is less than the amount I get daily from just betting. The upside completely outweighs it.

predictedNO

Message to anyone thinking about following last second or betting big on YES: the gains available from doing the opposite are way bigger. 30x your money.

This is big gains to be made for unfollowing Levina.

@FedorBeets I will unfollow. If anyone else wants to make a quick 1000 mana, seems like a good plan.

@FedorBeets 14 or more people would have to unfollow. And a bunch of YES shareholders might plan to follow @levifinkelstein the last minute.

predictedNO

@MayMeta Then we get a bigger bunch of NO holders to unfollow last minute

@TobyBW I'm down

@FedorBeets I win either way, if it resolves NO I get a lot of mana, if it resolves YES I get followers 😊 ❤

predictedYES

100 inclusive?

predictedNO

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