Have at least 50% of IMO medalists played at least 100 hours of piano? (500M subsidy)
17
1kṀ1733
Dec 31
37%
chance

Resolves when good evidence for either case is presented. For example a survey of a decent number of medalists asking them about their estimate of their time played.

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How do you plan to verify?

predictedNO

@Gen don't have any plans yet, but a survey of a descent amount of them would be good enougg

predictedYES

@levifinkelstein Promise not to rig it’

predictedNO

@Gen i promise

@levifinkelstein Cool market. Subsidised plus low orders

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