Will Senator Scott Wiener be employed by an AI company like Anthropic within the next 12 months?
51
1kṀ190k
Aug 25
3%
chance

Timeline

- February 2024: Scott Wiener introduces SB 1047, an AI regulation bill, despite having no prior relevance to AI (https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1047).

- June 2024: Reports suggest Christine Pelosi is likely to succeed her mother in Congress, complicating Wiener’s political aspirations (https://www.politico.com/news/2024/06/03/scott-wiener-pelosi-elections-california-00161159).

- August 2024: Speaker Nancy Pelosi publicly opposes SB 1047, withdrawing support for Wiener. Wiener responds with disagreement, noting his collaboration with Anthropic on the bill (https://pelosi.house.gov/news/press-releases/pelosi-statement-opposition-california-senate-bill-1047) [Wiener Response](https://sd11.senate.ca.gov/news/senator-wiener-responds-speaker-emerita-pelosis-opposition-sb-1047)

- Post-Pelosi Statement: Wiener is rumored to be considering high-paying roles in AI labs, including Anthropic, due to uncertainty about his political future

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy