OpenAI's next major AI model will be more open than GPT-4 by June 30, 2025
9
1kṀ1676
resolved Jul 12
100%84%
Same level of openness as GPT-4
7%
More open than GPT-4
9%
Less open than GPT-4

This market predicts the level of openness of OpenAI's next major AI model compared to GPT-4.

Resolution Criteria: Compare the licensing and accessibility of the next model with GPT-4's current closed approach.

References:

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@mods please resolve. I think o3 should be counted as the next model, as a mod said it and I traded based on that info. The market title is not about GPT models but about major AI models. The removal of GPT4.5 has also not taken place yet, so that argument also does not work.

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 20% order

The next model after GPT-4 is GPT-4.5 which is much less open (it's being removed from the API). o3 is of a different kind and shouldn't be considered IMO

@mods The creator is not active anymore, what model will GPT-4 be compared to, and what will the resolution criteria be? Does it matter that current models less open because the GPT-4 paper was pretty detailed and now we get just blog posts or does it only matter that they are API accessible and the license is the same?

@Fynn o3 seems like the next major model and is basically the same amount of open

@lakshaytalkstocomputer does o3 count as a major model and resolve this market?

@Fynn seems to me like it should

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