Let's play Civ6!
Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon market close I will try to interpret and act out the instructions in the game starting from the highest ranking instructions and progressing downward. If an instruction doesn't make sense to me, if it is not (currently) possible to execute or if it is incompatible with a higher ranking instruction (fully or partially) it will be skipped. Once all instructions have been iterated over, I will go back over the list of skipped instructions to check if they are now possible to execute, if so they will be removed from the skipped list. This will be repeated until not further actions are possible.
Executed instructions will resolve YES, skipped instructions will resolve NO. I reserve the right to (mis)interpret the instructions, but will try to be as conscientious as I can.
Once all instructions have been executed the turn will end. If there is still some action needed in order to end the turn, I will make a random choice of said action in order to progress.
Market will close at an arbitrary time between 18:00 UTC and 24:00 UTC.
If you want screenshots of other views, please feel free to ask for them and I will provide them as soon as possible.
Last turn
[YES] Move scout east
[YES] Fortify warrior
[YES] Build a settler
[YES] Switch from Mining to Animal Husbandry
[NO] Attack barbarian camp
World view:
1,000
1.00@komplexkonjugat Oh, we're not predicting anything, this is just a coordination game. Being ranked for this is a misuse of the system
@DavidFWatson I was not aware it was against the rules to have non-predictive markets being ranked. Where can I find these rules?
@DavidFWatson Since you brought it up, I went ahead and looked up the rules, and indeed, this definitely shouldn't be a ranked market:
https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Guidance-for-running-a-market-8cb4257ed3644ec9a1d6cc6c705f7c77
You'll note that other, similar, markets are unranked. This is the first one I came across browsing randomly: https://manifold.markets/DracksathAudio/lets-play-chess-move-three
@DavidFWatson I did look at other similar markets and a lot of them weren't.
https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/mnwpm-312tell-me-something-chatgpt
https://manifold.markets/CharlesLien/crowdsourced-mdp-policies-rps-1-pla-25cf7c501ec5
https://manifold.markets/CharlesLien/lets-play-will-this-game-last-an-ev
https://manifold.markets/CharlesLien/crowdsourced-mdp-policies-blackjack
https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/lets-play-minesweeper-draft-market
https://manifold.markets/CharlesLien/lets-play-will-this-game-last-an-od
I also don't see anything fundamentally wrong with whaleing per se, and think it brings about interesting effects.
However, upon reading the guidance (which I was not aware of - Manifold should be clearerar about that, I actually tried finding it without being able to) I think I agree with you that I ought to make these markets unranked going forwards.