Will I become an Atlas Fellow in 2024?
Effective AltruismAtlas 2024 gang
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resolved Nov 29
Resolved
NO

I was a finalist in 2023 and plan to re-apply in 2024. I believe that I underperformed in the interview round. Also, since my Round 1 application in 2023, I've won a bronze medal on the USAMO (65th highest score, unfortunately no MOP) and scored a 36 on the ACT.

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predicted NO

@klein199 Resolves NO (see the official announcement on the Atlas webpage).

predicted NO

https://manifold.markets/mudPi314/conditional-on-the-atlas-fellowship

Conditional on the Atlas Fellowship running in 2024, will Klein be a 2024 Atlas Fellow
72% chance. Resolves YES if Klein, poster of https://manifold.markets/klein199/will-i-become-an-atlas-fellow-in-20, is selected as a 2024 Atlas Fellow. Resolves NO if there are 2024 Atlas Fellows, but Klein is not one of them*. Resolves N/A otherwise. Closes when Klein's market resolves, or when Atlas announces that they will not be continuing in 2024. Related market**: https://manifold.markets/Logaems/will-the-atlas-fellowship-disband-a?r=bXVkUGkzMTQ * If the Atlas Fellowship runs next year but changes its eligibility requirements, or if Klein is unable to reapply for any other reason, this market will still resolve NO ** Note that it is possible for that market to resolve NO and this one to resolve N/A. This will happen if the Atlas Fellowship does not run next year, but also does not disband. [link preview]

adverse selection etc etc

Will this market resolve NO if the Atlas Fellowship disbands and does not run next year?

@VictorLJZ it will resolve "NO"

@VictorLJZ rumors be trickling, lmao

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