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MANIFOLD
Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
117
Ṁ2.7kṀ27k
Jan 1
79%
Mary Peltola (D)
21%
Dan Sullivan (R)
0%
Other

US Politics
Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
Alaska
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/ManifoldPolitics/first-round-of-alaska-senate-winner

sold Ṁ64 YES

What would have to happen for this market to resolve "other"?

@JosephCaissie I think Gerald heikes or fake Dan Sullivan winning

@Jack1 That makes sense; I was surprised to see "other" at 8% for a hot second and thought I didn't understand.

/Jack1/who-will-finish-first-place-in-the

bought Ṁ10 YES

/SaviorofPlant/will-dan-sullivan-win-reelection-to

I have a higher liquidity version of this market here. Someone can probably arb these with limit orders for free profit, this one was at 51% Peltola this morning while mine was at 63%.

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