Who will win the 2026 Alaska House election?

Question

Resolves YES to the winner of the election for Alaskas at large congressional districts election in November. This is for the winner of the final round, not first place the primary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Alaska#

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Nick Begich III (R), followed by Bill Hill (I) and Matt Schultz (D) are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).