Will Billy Mitchell win his defamation lawsuit against Karl Jobst?
Will Billy Mitchell win his defamation lawsuit against Karl Jobst?
15
1kṀ2014resolved May 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jfQZU3V6qo
Resolves based on the first verdict, excluding appeals.
Resolves positively, if the plaintiff (Billy Mitchell) wins.
Resolves negatively, if the defendant (Karl Jobst) wins, the case is otherwise dismissed or the case is retracted.
The trial date is September 16, 2024. Should the trial continue into 2025, the closing date will be adjusted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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