How many Hack Clubbers will there be on Manifold on April 1st, 2026?
4
250Ṁ1050
2026
-104 people
expected
98%
Above 15
75%
Above 20
24%
Above 30
24%
Above 50
8%
Above 75
6%
Above 100
6%
Above 150
10%
Above 200
3%
Above 300
1.6%
Above 500

This market resolves to the number of members of Hack Club who are known to have joined Manifold by April 1, 2026.

A user will be counted if they have a Hack Club Slack account, and their Manifold account can be matched with reasonable confidence to their Slack account, usually by matching usernames. I may ask them for confirmation if I am uncertain or if they are suspected of market manipulation. However, a user who has a Hack Club Slack account but didn't before they were 18 may not be counted (one example is @NickyCase)

Hack Clubbers do not need to be under 18 to be counted in this market. That means alumni are also counted.

To simplify resolution, I will only consider users mentioned in the comments or ones I have verified myself.

Due to the partially subjective criteria, I will not bet on this market.

List of Hack Clubbers who have joined Manifold so far: @khang2009, @Firepup650, @EndofTimee, @EternalNightfall, @gbtsui, @Jooooooooosh, @jollyroger182, @astracelestine, @Gizzy, @SahanaDoodekula, @TomD, @AdrianTennies, @LennyKay, @NovaHarrington, @sadeshmukh

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@khang2009 to clarify, 15 would not satisfy the first option (e.g. two additional users), correct?

@Firepup650 yes
16 would

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