Will public superforecaster AIs give great advice?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ392030
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Warning: not sure on operationalization yet, description and title may change somewhat.
Once I have easy access to a general-purpose public AI satisfying /ZviMowshowitz/public-llm-exceeds-superforecaster (without the 2026 bound), I want to check if it is obviously better than... I'm not sure, probably Claude Code Fable 5.1 ...at giving personal advice under uncertainty.
I'll resolve on my own vibes if necessary, but would appreciate concrete suggestions.
If no 2030 AI satisfies the precondition, resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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