Will Mr. Doodle complete his 1 million doodles project within 8 years?

Question

Mr. Doodle is working on a 1 million doodles project. Within 1 week I believe he completed 0.3% (3000 or so?). At that rate it will take around 6-7 years. Will he complete it?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (1 traders, as of May 6, 2026).

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