Will the Harvard Square EA office be open by March?
23
56
430
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO

This question resolves to "YES" if the Harvard Square EA office located in the Abbot building opens before the end of March 2023, otherwise NO. I'm using my subjective judgement to resolve.

[CLARIFICATION 2022/02/28] Resolves YES if the office opens before end of March, including if the office closes after opening and before the end of March. Things that will make it more likely that I determine that it's opened include EA events held there, EA professionals working there during a normal workday, and official announcements that it's open.

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predicted YES

Since it looks like the resolution criteria might be debatable, I'm selling my shares and won't trade further on this market.

bought Ṁ60 of NO

The spirit of the question is to capture whether an "EA/EA-adjacent co-working space" opens, and not whether "any space" opens, right? Like if the office space itself was unoccupied or subleased to people not working on EA related projects, but technically functional, this would still resolve NO, correct?

predicted NO

@Nikola it's about the purpose of the space, not the actual physical space itself, right?

predicted YES

@Nikola I won't operationalize too much since I believe that there is some optimization pressure being applied towards getting this to technically resolve YES, but you're basically right with your impression.

I'll be looking for general agreement among several categories of people (office workers, office manager, grantmaker, Boston EA community members) as a factor, official announcements, and the dynamics you'd expect to see in an office / coworking space (people work regularly there and have access to the building, events held there that are open to a not-tiny set of people, etc.).

sold Ṁ40 of NO

The Office passed its final inspection from the city of Cambridge today - we will have a certificate of occupation end of the week at the latest.

predicted YES

Anything public to share? @juan

predicted YES
predicted YES

@juan Did something bug here or do you intentionally comment with 0 text?

predicted YES

@DavidChee This was supposed to show two related markets, so either bugged or I messed it up

@juan ok probably a bug, will look into it!

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